השוק

לקראת פרסום נתוני האינפלציה: אלה התחזיות בשוק

מדד המחירים לצרכן לחודש יוני יתפרסם היום וקונצנזוס ההערכות מדבר על מדד שיסתובב סביב האפס. יונתן כץ, הכלכלן הראשי של בית ההשקעות לידר שוקי הון, מנתח את תנועות המחירים ומזהיר מפני עליית מחירי שכר הדירה

ניצן כהן | 15/7/2024 6:00

יונתן כץ (צילום צביקה דור, shutterstock, פלאש 90)

היום יתפרסם מדד המחירים לצרכן לחודש יוני וההערכות מדברות על מדד חיובי בשיעור של 0.1% עד 0.6%. יונתן כץ, הכלכלן הראשי של בית ההשקעות לידר שוקי הון כותב הבוקר ללקוחות הבית כי "אנו צופים שמדד המחירים לצרכן יעלה ב-0.1% בחודש יוני.

"ההערכות בשוק נעות סביב האפס. מדד יוני יושפע מהמשך עלייה במחירי המזון (1%), עלייה במחירי דיור (0.4%), עלייה מתונה במחירי הרהיטים (0.2%), נסיעות לחו"ל (2.9%) והבראה ונופש (1.6%).

"לעומת זאת, צפויה ירידה עונתית במחירי הפירות וירקות (מינוס 3.4%), הלבשה (מינוס 2.5%), והוזלה של 4.6% במחירי הדלקים. הנעלמים הגדולים הינם בעיקר מחירי השכירות.

"אנו צופים האצה לקצב שנתי של 2.3% מ-1.9% בחודש מאי. גם מחירי נסיעות לחו"ל עלולים להפתיע כלפי מעלה לאחר הירידה החדה בחודש מאי. לא ברור עד כמה הרפורמה במערכת ביטוח הבריאות המשלים תשפיע על המדד. מצד אחד תעריפי הביטוח המשלים עלו אך מצד שני הציבור צפוי לבטל את הכפילות של ביטוח פרטי" הוא מסיים.

תגיות אינפלציה | יונתן כץ | כלכלת ישראל | לידר שוקי הון | מדד המחירים לצרכן

הכתבות החמות

הרופא על רקע המחשת משטרה ותפילין, צילום: Shutterstock, דוברות רמב"ם

זעזוע: רופא מבית חולים רמב"ם איים בסכין על נערים מניחי תפילין

מערכת ice | 2:31

טיימס סקוור, צילום: אריה לייב אברמס/פלאש 90

צואה מהמרפסת ודגל ישראל מונף: האירוע שהטריף את הרשת - ראוי? צפו

מערכת ice | 3:05

ינון מגל, צילום: מסך ערוץ 14

סערה בפטריוטים: ינון מגל קם כדי להפריד בין חברי הפאנל

מערכת ice | 9/4/2025

שחקנית-אילוסטרציה, צילום: shutterstock

הזמרת הישראלית שהפכה לסמל מין חושפת: "התחתנתי בתולה"

מערכת ice | 4:17

מירי בוהדנה, צילום: גלית ורטהיים, shutterstock

מירי בוהדנה נפרדת בדמעות: ''עזב את העולם מוקדם מדי''

מערכת ice | 9/4/2025

שמאי המקרקעין והמשפטן ארז כהן, צילום: מריו לוי, אילוסטרציה AI

לקנות דירה, אבל לגור במלון: השמאי ארז כהן על הרפורמה התקדימית

לקנות דירה, אבל לגור במלון: השמאי ארז כהן על הרפורמה התקדימית

בשיתוף מערכת זירת הנדל"ן | 9/4/2025

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